Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 3.556188 3.781325 4.021593 4.298525 4.610746 4.954074 5.363263
2024-10-27 3.174339 3.460894 3.780952 4.169104 4.633025 5.177738 5.878400
2024-11-03 3.025562 3.375235 3.782763 4.302111 4.960967 5.791262 6.957455
2024-11-10 2.926276 3.334600 3.829990 4.492835 5.387038 6.604489 8.501422
2024-11-17 2.731916 3.160184 3.694967 4.436884 5.486575 7.009052 9.609030
2024-11-24 2.548763 2.984578 3.541881 4.339111 5.515163 7.323012 10.702467
2024-12-01 2.403314 2.846214 3.425294 4.278329 5.589682 7.730267 12.154746
2024-12-08 2.282668 2.731598 3.330823 4.238529 5.691612 8.214687 14.048532
2024-12-15 2.214294 2.681797 3.321058 4.322296 6.007535 9.179581 17.808412
2024-12-22 2.079433 2.532557 3.159206 4.156484 5.876952 9.252633 19.322515
2024-12-29 2.014670 2.476590 3.127643 4.192363 6.110178 10.170004 24.778302
2025-01-05 1.948408 2.414312 3.081860 4.200133 6.295179 11.066857 32.253755
2025-01-12 1.846375 2.304219 2.969986 4.110112 6.326706 11.756498 42.699056
2025-01-19 1.743932 2.188034 2.841074 3.978466 6.255133 12.178106 55.534722
2025-01-26 1.704460 2.161714 2.849575 4.090449 6.734943 14.644643 155.502068
2025-02-02 1.677211 2.151737 2.883307 4.255458 7.401588 18.708664 NaN
2025-02-09 1.609413 2.076192 2.804431 4.196997 7.513023 20.763491 NaN
2025-02-16 1.540839 1.995907 2.712219 4.102175 7.510654 22.392828 NaN
2025-02-23 1.483808 1.930699 2.641063 4.042145 7.594983 24.893762 NaN
2025-03-02 1.434546 1.875196 2.582721 4.002073 7.732277 28.360116 NaN
2025-03-09 1.406610 1.851807 2.577929 4.074291 8.244755 37.578588 NaN
2025-03-16 1.346748 1.774779 2.474454 3.921883 7.990948 37.763240 NaN
2025-03-23 1.317766 1.746059 2.454676 3.951989 8.370357 49.762537 NaN